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By Bill Gertz

Xi warns party of political explosion

Chinese President Xi Jinping warned in a major speech this month of growing risks and dangers for the Chinese Communist Party in its ideological confrontation with the West.

“Now, various risks and dangers are highly correlated, strongly linked, and rapidly transmitted,” Mr. Xi said in a speech to hundreds of senior officials at an internal meeting Feb. 7. “A little carelessness can cause a butterfly effect. Small risks will become big risks; risks will become general risks; and economic and social risks will become political risks.”

Party officials were urged to “identify risks early, act quickly, take command at the front, and make immediate judgments as soon as they arise.”

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“Do not let small things be delayed to become big things, and big things be delayed until they explode,” Mr. Xi said.

The speech was first reported by the Sinoinsider newsletter, which closely monitors developments in China.

Mr. Xi began warning of political dangers facing the ruling Communist Party several times since coming to power in 2012. By 2018, he voiced concerns about worsening relations with Washington amid a trade war with the Trump administration.

The decade-long warnings are indications Mr. Xi’s policies of seeking stability and a consolidation of power are not working, Sinoinsider stated in its analysis of the speech.

“If anything, it is becoming increasingly observable that Xi’s ‘solution’ to defusing risks and preserving the regime (i.e., intense power centralization, strengthening of the national security state, and elevating Xi and the Party‘s position above all) are accelerating the regime’s headlong dash towards disaster and failure,” the newsletter stated.

The current policy of power consolidation and greater Communist Party controls are leading to increasing social tensions and political risks. Attempts by Mr. Xi to strengthen Party control over the financial sector are driving away foreign capital and sparking factional struggles.

Sinoinsider predicts the problems will not be easily solved: “Unless Xi abandons the CCP and moves China towards genuine reforms, he will almost certainly go down with the communist regime that he is currently striving hard to save,” the newsletter said.

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「[透視中國]對中國內部了解透徹、局勢的分析較為深刻,對中國的資訊有與市面其他同等信息不一樣的地方。希望從透視中國獲取更多有價值的信息。」

香港財經日報 (BUSINESSTIMES.COM.HK )

「作為一名駐華記者,透視中國對我來說,是深入了解中共如何運作的一個非常可靠的信息來源,從中了解到很多中共派系鬥爭和習近平所面臨的挑戰。」

Sebastien Ricci,法新社駐中國和蒙古記者

「明教授與他的團隊所做之局勢判斷都非常有遠見且方向也正確;在現今媒體參雜著許多真假難辨的新聞資料中,更是需要透視中國團隊以專業的角度來判斷這個詭譎多變的世界。」

劉正川, 嘉義大學榮譽教授