BARRON’S: The Main Obstacles To Chinese Growth

By AFP

The finances of some local authorities are stretched to the limit, after three years of astronomical spending to combat the Covid-19 pandemic, and above all a property crisis that has deprived them of a major source of income.

The economic context is exacerbating their difficulties, according to analysts at SinoInsider, an American consultancy specialising in China.

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SinoInsider noted that local governments are “trying various methods” to increase their revenues, at the risk of weakening businesses that have already been tested by the economic situation.

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Given the economic climate, the financial sector is reluctant to invest in traditional growth sectors, fuelling an “asset shortage”, SinoInsider said.

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On the other hand, it is buying more and more “risk-free” long-term government bonds, which is driving down yields.

This is helping to depreciate the Chinese currency, with the risk of accelerating capital flight, SinoInsider warned.

原文

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「從『透視中國』的報告中經常可以看到獨特的見解。」

白邦瑞, 《百年馬拉松》作者美國傳統基金會中國戰略高級研究員

「明居正老師和透視中國團隊的預測,對我們製訂新聞報道方針和預計中國和香港政府的下一步,具有好高的參考價值。」

陳妙玲,香港電台新聞部中國組副組長

透視中國的洞見分析有助於我在劍橋教學,及服務於英國公眾的政策分析。」

Kun-Chin Lin 博士,英國劍橋大學大學政治學講師,地緣政治學中心副主任